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Pick 1.5 VAN (-133) @ pinnacle.
The set-up: Vancouver won't be lacking for motivation here as it tries to break a three-game slide. It also plays with immediate revenge here after getting spanked 7-3 in this building two nights ago. With another game on Monday here, the Canucks will be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight to try and get off the schneid. I like betting on motivated teams, and with an extra goal and a half of insurance at this price, I think the Nucks definitely offer value ATS.
The pick: Finally, note that Toronto is just 2-6 in its last eight after scoring six or more goals in a four-goals or greater victory in its last outing. In a game which I see being decided late or in extra time, I'm going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Canucks on the puck-line.
Pick 4 UK (-115) @ Pointsbet.
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday FREE PLAY. To say it has been a disappointing season for Kentucky would be an understatement. The Wildcats are 5-11 overall including 4-5 in the SEC, certainly not living up to their normal standards. That being said, they lost to 10-0 Alabama twice and second place Missouri. Overall, Kentucky has played the seventh toughest schedule in the country overall which is by far the toughest of any team in the SEC so the record is a bit deceiving. Tennessee is 12-4 including a 5-54 record in the conference so it has not been much better but is laying points on the road. The Volunteers have only won one away game (at Texas A&M) since December 30th. They struggle mightily on the road, especially when it comes to scoring as they are averaging just 60 ppg. Play (752) Kentucky Wildcats.
Pick -4.5 GT (-109) @ pinnacle.
This is a 1* free play on Georgia Tech.
The Yellow Jackets last home game was a double digit win over Florida State, and they boast a record of 7-2 overall at home. The Irish have won four of their last five, but all those wins came against conference bottom feeders. Prior to that they suffered double digit losses to Virginia and Virginia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS loss. Georgia Tech has lost three of four, but those losses came against Duke, Louisville and Virginia in close games.
Pick -5 COLO (-110) @ sportsinteraction.
Arizona is also off a loss to Utah. But theirs just transpired Thursday. The Wildcats also cannot claim to have held the kind of significant lead Colorado had over the Utes. Playing in Salt Lake City, the Wildcats trailed the entire second half and ended up going down by a final score of 73-58. They shot very poorly (made only 2 three-pointers) and let Utah shoot 58% in the second half.
Playing with more rest and at home, Colorado would seem to have the advantage tonight. They haven't played since blowing that huge lead against Utah one week ago and thus should be "chomping at the bit" to get back on the court. They hadn't lost here in Boulder until last week and are still 5-0 ATS when laying 3.5 to 6 points here. Arizona has covered only three times in their last 14 tries as a dog. I believe the Buffaloes are the best team in the Pac 12 and one of the 20 best in the country. My suggestion is to lay the points here. 1* Colorado.
Pick -7.5 PUR (-110) @ bet365.
Purdue is looking to bounce back from an embarrassing loss to Maryland on the road in their last outing. Purdue is one of the best defensive teams in the Big Ten as well as one of the best rebounding teams in the conference. Northwestern has not been good as of late. After winning their first three games to start conference play they have lost 8 in a row. Take the Boilermakers to win this game in a blowout on their home court.
Play on Purdue. This is a 1* free play.
Pick -3 USC (-110) @ sportsinteraction.
This is a FREE play (1*) on SOUTHERN CAL.
It's a battle for first place, late Saturday night in the Pac 12. UCLA (9-1 Pac 12, 13-3 overall) is the team in "pole position," however USC (8-2, 14-3) is at home and slightly favored. We beluieve the Trojans to be the slightly better team. While that is reflected in the number, you shouldn't be afraid to lay it. USC is 9-1 at home and they have scored an average of 14 more points per game than they have allowed. All three UCLA losses have come on the road, including the lone one in the Pac 12, which was two Saturdays ago at undermanned Stanford. USC just beat Stanford, on the road, Tuesday. The Bruins have had two of their last three games postponed, a disruption they certainly didn't need heading into this big rivalry game. They've already lost one of their top scorers (Chris Smith) to an ACL injury. That they scored just 57 points in their last game is not a good sign either. Nor is a 3-11 ATS record playing on 5 or 6 days rest. Play on SOUTHERN CAL.
Pick Under 231 (-105) @ Pointsbet.
ASA free play on: UNDER 231 Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks, 8:35 PM ET - These two teams met on Thursday with the Warriors off 147-116 blowout win over the Mavs. Everything went right for the Warriors as they shot 57% (compared to 45.8% season average) overall and 51% from beyond the arc (ss nave 36.9%). The Warriors put up 36, 37 in 3rd and 4th quarters with Kelly Oubre Jr. have a career night with 50-points on 7 made 3-pointers. Don’t expect lighting to strike twice in a row here and bet Golden State reverts back to their normal averages here. Dallas has another poor shooting night which seems to be a continuing theme as they are last in the league in 3-point percentage. On Thursday night the Mavs finished the game by making just 2 of their last 14 3-pointers. The Mavs will be playing with a chip on their shoulders here after Thursday’s blowout so expect their defense to be much better. Dallas prefers to play slow with the 22nd slowest pace in the NBA and know the only way to beat Golden State is to keep this to a low scoring affair. These teams rank 19th (Dallas) and 20th (Warriors) in offensive efficiency ratings. Grab the added value with UNDER in this one.
Pick -3.5 TENN (-106) @ 888sport.
My free play is on Tennessee at 8:00 ET.
Kentucky was ranked No. 10 in the AP preseason poll but its 1-6 start took care of that. However, the Wildcats won three straight to open SEC play, after a 76-58 at Florida on Jan 9. Hope was alive in Lexington but the Wildcats have lost FIVE of six since that 3-0 SEC start. Tennessee was No. 12 in the AP's preseason poll and the Vols were 10-1 and ranked 6th when they lost 75-49 at Florida on Jan 19. The Vols have lost THREE of five (including that loss to the Gators) and visit Lexington at 12-4 (ranked 11th).
Tennessee blasted Kansas 80-61 last Saturday but then lost 52-50 at Ole Miss this past Tuesday, which had lost FIVE of its previous seven games, including THREE by double digits. Head coach Rick Barnes lamented mistakes in his Volunteers' loss at Ole Miss. They had 16 turnovers, which compounded the troubles they had shooting the ball, 35.6 percent for the game and 10 of 16 on free throws. "We had just some horrendous turnovers," Barnes said. "When you add that to the fact that we missed some shots that I like to think we can make around the rim, and you add that to the fact that with missing the front end of some one-and-ones on free throws, it makes for a long night. That's the disappointing part of it." Tennessee is loaded with perimeter players. Guards Bailey (10.4), Springer (9.6), Pons (9.4 & 5.8), Johnson (9.0), Vescovi (8.7 & 3.8) and Jordon-James (8.3 & 5.8) are quite a group. The 6-9 Fulkerson averages 11.0 & 5.9.
It's no surprise that Calipari relies on freshmen, including leading scorer Boston (12.0 & 5.3), who was joined in the backcourt by freshman Clarke (10.7) and Askew (6.6) plus senior Mintz (10.3). However, Clarke has been sidelined since Dec 26 with an ankle injury. 7-0 senior Wake Forest transfer Sarr (10.2 & 5.6) has help up front from 6-10 freshman Jackson (6.6 & 7.1) and now 6-7 sophomore Brooks, who since getting back on the court has averaged 10.1 & 5.3.
The Wildcats rallied from a 13-point halftime deficit to within three points, 68-65, with 4:53 remaining at Missouri on Wednesday and still were within four at 74-70 with 1:17 on the clock. However, they missed their last three shots in the final minute, including a couple of layups. Another defeat would saddle the Wildcats with their most losses under coach John Calipari since his 2012-13 team was 21-12. Anyone ever think a Cal-coached team would be averaging 67.6 PPG (269th) on 41.8% shooting (273rd), including 30.2% on threes (298th)? However, that's the case and while the Vols have been inconsistent on the offensive end this season, they are allowing just 58.9 PPG (6th) on 39.3% shooting (21st). Take the road favorite.




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