п»їCollege Football Picks Week 6: Top 25 Rankings, Schedule, Odds and Predictions.
Featured Columnist October 5, 2020 Comments Comment Bubble Icon.
It's hard to find a game in the history of the Red River Showdown that features two teams that have failed to live up to expectations as much as the Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners have in 2020.
The Big 12 rivals enter the neutral-site clash in a need of a victory to stay relevant in the conference title race.
Oklahoma comes into the rivalry game as an unranked team for the first time since 2005, while Texas barely survived the AP Top 25 cut.
The Longhorns and Sooners should receive most of the early Saturday spotlight, but once that game ends, all focus will shift toward the ACC.
The Clemson Tigers could be challenged for the first time this season by the Miami Hurricanes, who roll into South Carolina with a large amount of buzz that they are back as one of the nation's premier programs.
Clemson is projected to win the ACC showdown by double digits, but if Miami keeps it close or somehow wins on the road, the balance of power in the conference and country could shift quite a bit.
Week 6 Schedule and Odds.
Saturday, October 10.
No. 4 Florida (-6.5) at No. 21 Texas A&M (Noon, ESPN) (Over/Under: 57.5)
No. 19 Virginia Tech at No. 8 North Carolina (-5) (Noon, ABC) (O/U: 60)
No. 22 Texas vs. Oklahoma (-2.5) (Noon, Fox) (O/U: 70)
Coastal Carolina at No. 23 Louisiana (Noon, ESPN2) (N/A)
No. 14 Tennessee at No. 3 Georgia (-14) (3:30 p.m., CBS) (O/U: 45.5)
UTSA at No. 15 BYU (-34.5) (3:30 p.m., ESPN2) (O/U: 64.5)
Texas Tech at No. 24 Iowa State (-13.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC) (O/U: 62.5)
Arkansas at No. 13 Auburn (-16.5) (4 p.m., SEC Network) (O/U: 51)
No. 2 Alabama (-24.5) at Ole Miss (6 p.m., ESPN) (O/U: 74)
No. 7 Miami at No. 1 Clemson (-16) (7:30 p.m., ABC)
Florida State at No. 5 Notre Dame (-21.5) (7:30 p.m., NBC) (O/U: 54)
Missouri at No. 17 LSU (-19.5) (9 p.m., ESPN) (O/U: 54)
Predictions.
Texas vs. Oklahoma (Over 70)
Defense has been an issue for both Texas and Oklahoma.
The Longhorns have allowed 379 yards and 30.7 points per game, while the Sooners have conceded 317 yards and 25 points per contest to start the season.
Oklahoma's defensive averages are skewed a bit since it shut out Missouri State in its lone nonconference game.
Since entering Big 12 play, Oklahoma's defending has been atrocious and is unlikely to get better with Sam Ehlinger lining up across from it. The quarterback has 14 touchdown passes and 10 different Texas receivers have found the end zone in the first three games.
However, the Texas signal-caller is in need of a bounce-back performance after completing fewer than half of his passes in the loss to TCU.
Spencer Rattler was far more accurate for the Sooners in their defeat to Iowa State, but he made some poor decisions, including on the game-clinching interception, to doom his team.
The winners of the past three Red River Showdowns eclipsed the 30-point mark, and Texas won a 48-45 shootout in 2018.
With the way both defenses have played, 35 points on either side to touch the over seems very doable, especially if Ehlinger and Rattler clean up their mistakes.
Taking the over also feels like the best way to approach this game from a betting perspective since the two sides have been inconsistent on defense.
Miami at Clemson (-16)
Miami has breezed through its first three opponents to strum up buzz that this could be the year it returns to national prominence for the entire season.
While the Hurricanes are in a better position than previous years to claim an ACC title, Clemson is still the class of the league.
Miami's D'Eriq King-led offense put up 99 points on Louisville and Florida State, but those two teams are far from the gold standard on defense. Florida State struggled to beat FCS side Jacksonville State, and Louisville failed to beat Pittsburgh on the road after losing to Miami at home.
Clemson ranks seventh in the FBS in yards conceded, and it is third among teams that have played three games in that category.
The Tigers did allow 23 points to Virginia in Week 5, but they were never threatened by the Cavaliers since Trevor Lawrence posted his second 300-yard performance of the season.
Miami could have a decent offensive night in Clemson and still fall short of challenging the Tigers because the offense of the top-ranked team is so dominant.
Lawrence and Travis Etienne have picked up where they left off and delivered three strong performances, while a new crop of wide receivers has emerged behind Amari Rodgers to give the quarterback plenty of targets to work with.
Since 2017, Clemson is 10-0 versus Top 25 teams in the regular season and produced at least 27 points in eight of those games.
King is capable of putting the Tigers under pressure with the way he maneuvers through the pocket, but if he is stopped even once or twice, it could open the door for Lawrence to create a double-digit advantage that Clemson does not let go of.
If that is the case, Dabo Swinney's side could pull away in the second half and reinforce that it is the team to beat in the ACC.
Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90. Statistics obtained from ESPN.
NFL expert picks, predictions for Week 6 straight up.
Week 6 of the NFL season features great quarterback matchups — and the focus will be on the Tom Brady-Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes-Josh Allen quarterback duels in the big spotlight games.
Dallas' Andy Dalton also will be making his first start with his new team on "Monday Night Football" against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals.
Five divisional games, however, have our attention. The Titans-Texans matchup is interesting with Tennessee coming off a short week. The Jets are looking for their first win against the Dolphins, and the Giants are looking for their first win against Washington. San Francisco faces pressure heading into a "Sunday Night Football" matchup against the Rams.
The big game, however, is the Browns-Steelers matchup in Pittsburgh. Cleveland has a chance to knock off an unbeaten team, and this AFC North rivalry has a little more meaning now. That’s the best game of the week.
Last Week: 9-5 Season: 17-10.
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 6 of the NFL season.
Pats Pulpit Pick Six: Week 6 Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets.
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It was a wildly successful Week 5, going 6-0 on our Pick Six best bets, and 18-8 overall, bringing our overall record to 84-65-3 on the year. As the NFL continues to try and tip-toe around the coronavirus threat that appears to be stalking its teams, it’s important to keep up-to-date on all the roster shuffling that is going on around the league as teams try their damnedest to prevent an outbreak.
Week 6 features a few fun games, including Browns-Steelers, Packers-Bucs, and Chiefs-Bills. Here’s what we are eyeing this week.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-10), O/U 45.
The Patriots will get back Cam Newton and Stephon Gilmore this week from the COVID list, while the Broncos will be without starting running back Melvin Gordon, and possibly Noah Fant, who is listed as questionable.
New England has hardly been at its facilities in the last two weeks, and that layoff could affect them here. But with Denver shorthanded, and the Patriots getting two of their top players back, I’ll ride with the home favorites.
The Picks: Patriots -10 / Under 45.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3), O/U 52.5.
Ryan Tannehill has legitimately become a very good quarterback, and with Derrick Henry at running back, the Titans can attack you however they want. Houston covered against Jacksonville last week, but it was a close game until midway through the fourth quarter.
Tennessee also will get back Adam Humphries this week, and should be able to have success against a Houston defense that is giving up 28 points per game.
The Picks: Titans -3 / Under 52.5.
Washington Football Team at New York Giants (-2.5), O/U 42.5.
Not exactly a game that fans will be desperate to watch this week. After suffering an injury in his season debut last week, Kyle Allen will start for the Washington Football Team against a Giants defense that has shown flashes, but has struggled to find consistency this season.
The WFT defensive line should cause issues for Daniel Jones in this one, and it wouldn’t be surprised to see Danny Fumbles cough up another one this week.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-4), O/U 54.5.
If you want to believe that the Falcons may get a bump this week playing for a new interim head coach, now that Dan Quinn has finally been let go, go ahead. But Atlanta is awful, and the Vikings suddenly look like they have figured things out.
Even with Dalvin Cook out, the Vikings offense likely will not miss a beat with Alexander Mattison stepping in for Cook. This could be a blowout win for Minnesota.
The Picks: Vikings -4 / Under 54.5.
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-1.5), O/U 45.
The Panthers, who came into this year with very low expectations, are surging all of a sudden, having won three in a row, all without Christian McCaffrey. I’ll bet that this is the week they regress back to the mean, against a Bears defense that should muddy the water for Teddy Bridgewater and the Carolina offense.
Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars, O/U 54.5.
Detroit’s passing attack should be able to pick on a poor Jaguars defense. After a hot start to the season, Jacksonville looks to be the team that many expected this season. Matt Patricia really needs to win this game if he wants to keep his job much longer.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3), O/U 51.
One of the best matchups of Week 6, featuring two AFC North division rivals, both with strong offenses. Pittsburgh covered last week against Philadelphia, but it was tighter game than expected, as the Eagles looked sure to cover until Chase Claypool scored his fourth touchdown late in the game.
Both teams are pretty evenly matched. Pittsburgh should have the run defense to limit the Browns’ rushing attack, which should make Cleveland rely more on Baker Mayfield to bring them a W. Whether he can do that is the question, but the Browns have won four straight, and should be able to keep this close on the road. Wyatt Teller being out for Cleveland on their offensive line will be a huge blow though, and one I doubt they overcome.
The Picks: Steelers -3 / Over 51.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-8), O/U 46.5.
Joe Burrow had a rough go of it last week against the Baltimore Ravens’ defense, and it won’t get any easier against a Colts defense that is among the best in the league. Darius Leonard’s status in this game bears watching, after the Colts let up 32 points to Cleveland last week with Leonard on the sideline.
I don’t trust Philip Rivers, and I think highly of Joe Burrow. Give me the young upstart Bengals.
Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles, O/U 47.5.
Baltimore clobbered the Bengals by a score of 27-3 last week, and now will face a Philadelphia team that may be getting some help on offense, with wide receivers Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson listed as questionable.
Baltimore has the secondary to stop the Eagles’ passing attack however, with cornerbacks Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters. 7.5 points is a lot for a road favorite, but I’ll fade the Eagles here.
The Picks: Ravens -7.5 / Under 47.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-9.5), O/U 47.
Joe Flacco still at quarterback? Adam Gase STILL (?!) the head coach? Dolphins all the way.
The Picks: Dolphins -8 / Under 47.
Green Bay Packers (-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, O/U 55.
The best matchup of Week 6, featuring Tom Brady vs. Aaron Rodgers. Bucs are coming off a disappointing loss to Chicago, and will be motivated to get back on track at home against a Packers team that has shown last year’s NFC Championship appearance was no fluke.
The Bucs defense suffered a major loss last week with defensive tackle Vita Vea suffering a season-ending broken ankle, which should allow Green Bay to get its run game going, and keep the Tampa defense guessing. Aaron Rodgers is playing at an MVP level, while Tom Brady is still finding his way in Tampa. Let’s hope he gets the downs correctly this week.
The Picks: Packers -1 / Over 54.5.
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers, O/U 51.5.
The 49ers tend to play the Rams in close games, but after getting clobbered by Miami this week, that appears to be a tall task this week. The Rams are clicking on offense, and will be able to take advantage of a shorthanded San Francisco defense.
The Picks: Rams -3.5 / Under 51.5.
Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) at Buffalo Bills, O/U 57.5.
The Bills were upset by the Titans on Monday, and won’t get any breaks this week when they play host to the defending Super Bowl champions.
The Chiefs, however, have issues of their own, especially on offense. Luckily they welcome in new signing Le’Veon Bell, and can feast on a poor Buffalo run D.
Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes should get back on track on offense, and the question is if the Bills can do the same with their offense. Getting John Brown back will be key against a surprisingly good Kansas City secondary. This should be a close game, and while I think the Chiefs win, I think four points is too many.
Arizona Cardinals (-2) at Dallas Cowboys, O/U 55.
The Andy Dalton era begins in Dallas, as the Cowboys welcome in the Cardinals, who are coming off a big win against the lowly Jets last week.
Arizona has been inconsistent this year, and it’s hard to tell what team you are going to get from week to week.
Dalton, meanwhile, will take over an offense that has more weapons than he has ever played with before. He should be able to spread the ball around and keep the Dallas offense clicking in Dak Prescott’s absence, but I think the media is overrating just how well Dalton can do in this offense. I think the Cardinals romp here.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 6: Steelers hold off Browns; Chiefs, 49ers rebound in prime time.
Week 6 of the NFL season features great quarterback matchups — and the focus will be on the Tom Brady-Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes-Josh Allen quarterback duels in the big spotlight games.
Dallas' Andy Dalton also will be making his first start with his new team on "Monday Night Football" against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals.
Five divisional games, however, have our attention. The Titans-Texans matchup is interesting with Tennessee coming off a short week. The Jets are looking for their first win against the Dolphins, and the Giants are looking for their first win against Washington. San Francisco faces pressure heading into a "Sunday Night Football" matchup against the Rams.
The big game, however, is the Browns-Steelers matchup in Pittsburgh. Cleveland has a chance to knock off an unbeaten team, and this AFC North rivalry has a little more meaning now. That’s the best game of the week.
Last Week: 9-5 Season: 17-10.
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 6 of the NFL season.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 6.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Falcons fired Dan Quinn after a 0-5 start, and the Vikings might be without Dalvin Cook (groin). Both defenses give up more than 30 points per game, but the Vikings ride Alexander Mattison to victory here in a close one.
Pick: Vikings 29, Falcons 27.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
We have no idea what to expect from the Titans at this point given the COVID-19 issues surrounding the team. The Texans have lost three of the last four at Tennessee, but it depends on how the Titans respond to a short week. We’re going to take Deshaun Watson in the upset.
Pick: Texans 28, Titans 26.
Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Ravens' defense has found its footing since the loss to the Chiefs, and they have allowed just 10 points per game in victories against Washington and Cincinnati. The Eagles present a stiffer challenge, but Baltimore’s offense is just too efficient right now.
Pick: Ravens 31, Eagles 17.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-8)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Rookie quarterback Joe Burrow took eight sacks against Philadelphia and seven more in the loss to the Ravens last week. Indianapolis will be coming next, and their defense will be motivated after giving up 32 points to the Browns last week.
Pick: Colts 23, Bengals 17.
Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
This game appears to have more implications for the 2021 NFL Draft than anything else. The Lions had a bye week to shore up the protection around Matthew Stafford, but Detroit must squeak out another one-score victory on the road.
Pick: Lions 26, Jaguars 21.
Washington Football Team at New York Giants (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Speaking of the No. 1 pick, this NFC East rivalry features two teams still looking for a superstar quarterback. New York’s offense showed up in the loss to Dallas, but the Redskins make it ugly. Chase Young comes up with a late sack to seal the victory.
Pick: Washington 19, Giants 17.
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Bears are underdogs for the second straight week, but the offense has changed direction with Nick Foles. Carolina is a hot team with Teddy Bridgewater, who has thrown just one interception and taken two sacks through a three-game win streak. He will be under more heat in this one.
Pick: Bears 26, Panthers 23.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (TBD)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Patriots are another team whose schedule continues to change by the day because of COVID-19, and we have no idea who will be their starting quarterback at this point. We’re sticking to the same prediction as last week.
Pick: Patriots 28, Broncos 19.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Emotions should be high because this is the first matchup with big implications in this rivalry in a while. The Steelers’ defense showed holes in the secondary last week, and Baker Mayfield will make some big plays in the passing game. Cleveland will lead at halftime, but the Steelers will rally in the fourth quarter for another big victory at the Browns' expense.
Pick: Steelers 29, Browns 27.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-8)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Dolphins have won two of their last three behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has a pair of 300-yard games in that stretch. The Jets haven't been able to stop the pass. They will join the Giants in the 0-6 club.
Pick: Dolphins 31, Jets 23.
Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.
The marquee showdown features Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. The Packers are coming off the bye week, and the Buccaneers had extra rest after the "Thursday Night Football" loss to the Bears. This is another prove-it game for Brady, and the Buccaneers will lead for three quarters before Rodgers leads a fourth-quarter comeback. You can flip the script and take Tampa Bay if you want. Either way, the game lives up to the hype.
Pick: Packers 33, Buccaneers 31.
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers.
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Rams and 49ers both have top-five defenses when it comes to yards allowed, and that should lead to a grind-it-out game, and Jimmy Garoppolo faces more pressure than anyone else here. At home, San Francisco delivers.
Pick: 49ers 23, Rams 20.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Buffalo Bills.
Monday, 5 p.m. ET, FOX.
This game got pushed back from its "Thursday Night Football" spotlight, and it’s Buffalo’s chance to shine on the national stage. The Chiefs were upset by the Raiders in Week 5, but they are more accustomed to this prime-time spot. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen put on a show, but the Chiefs come out on top.
Pick: Chiefs 33, Bills 24.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys.
Monday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN.
Andy Dalton is the next man up at quarterback for the Cowboys, and the offense can still function with him at quarterback. This is a homecoming of sorts for Kyler Murray, a Texas high-school legend who has the Cardinals in the playoff hunt. Some might want to write Dallas off. We just think this is the next roller-coaster ride.
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